Tag: Budget

  • FG DOES NOT OPERATE SHADOW BUDGET: 𝐑𝐄𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐄 𝐓𝐎 𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐌𝐈𝐒𝐑𝐄𝐏𝐑𝐄𝐒𝐄𝐍𝐓𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐒 𝐎𝐍 𝐏𝐔𝐁𝐋𝐈𝐂 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐈𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄

    FG DOES NOT OPERATE SHADOW BUDGET: 𝐑𝐄𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐄 𝐓𝐎 𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐌𝐈𝐒𝐑𝐄𝐏𝐑𝐄𝐒𝐄𝐍𝐓𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐒 𝐎𝐍 𝐏𝐔𝐁𝐋𝐈𝐂 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐈𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄

     

     

    By Biola Lawal

    Abuja (FLOWERBUDNEWS):  The Federal Government has clarified that it does not operate a “shadow budget” or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance.

     

    The Federal Government has noted recent public commentary alleging that approximately two percent of GDP amounting to over ₦8 trillion was spent outside the approved budget based on references to the IMF Representative in Nigeria and the Fund’s 2026 Article IV Consultation Report.

    These claims are incorrect and risk misleading the public regarding the government’s financial management.

    For the avoidance of doubt, the Federal Government does not operate a “shadow budget” or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance.

    Under Sections 80 – 83 and 162 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999 (as amended), public funds may only be withdrawn and expended in accordance with the Constitution and laws enacted by the National Assembly.

    Accordingly, Federal Government expenditure is incurred pursuant to duly enacted Appropriation Acts, Supplementary Appropriation Acts, and other statutory authorities enacted by the National Assembly. In addition, multi-year capital projects which necessarily span multiple budgets are implemented in accordance with extant laws and approved provisions for capital rollovers where applicable.

    These are recognised features of public financial management and should not be misconstrued as expenditures outside the budget.

    It is inaccurate to suggest that trillions of naira have been secretly spent outside legislative approval. Such allegations should have identified the specific projects purportedly executed without appropriation or legal authority and present credible evidence in support of the claim. To be meaningful, assertions of this magnitude must be supported by verifiable facts rather than conjecture.

    For the purpose of public education, it is important to distinguish between appropriation, expenditure authorisation, financing, and fiscal reporting.

    Nigeria’s public finance framework contains several statutory transfers, first-line charges and intervention mechanisms established by Acts of the National Assembly. These include, among others:

    – Statutory allocations and contributions to development commissions and other agencies created by law.
    – Cost of collection and cost of administration retained by designated revenue-collecting agencies as expressly provided under relevant legislation.
    – Capital expenditure approved in separate budgets for some agencies and the Federal Capital Territory by the National Assembly.
    – Special interventions approved by law to address national priorities such as security, infrastructure, disaster response, and other strategic national programmes or emergencies.
    – Debt service obligations and other statutory transfers that are authorised under applicable legislation.

    These expenditures are neither secret nor illegal. They are established by law, disclosed in various fiscal reports, and subject to applicable oversight, audit and accountability mechanisms. Their treatment for reporting purposes may differ from their presentation in the annual Appropriation Act, particularly under international statistical and reporting standards adopted by the Federal Government. Such classification differences should not be misrepresented as evidence of unlawful expenditure.

    It is equally incorrect to suggest that the reported amount represents an increase in budget deficit. A fiscal deficit is determined by the relationship between total government revenues and total government expenditures. Whether a capital project is financed through annual appropriations, supplementary appropriations, statutory transfers, approved intervention mechanisms, or other lawful financing arrangements does not, by itself, increase the fiscal deficit.

    Indeed, the IMF’s observation relates primarily to the comprehensiveness, timing and presentation of fiscal reporting rather than the legality of expenditure. Like many countries, Nigeria continues to strengthen the alignment between budget presentation and international fiscal reporting standards as part of ongoing public financial management reforms. As a matter of fact, His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR had himself formally requested the National Assembly to end the practice of running multiple and overlapping budgets, and rather harmonise into a single, cohesive framework during his presentation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill to a joint session of the National Assembly on December 19, 2025.

    The Federal Government remains firmly committed to prudent fiscal management, transparency and accountability. Recent reforms have significantly strengthened public financial management with ongoing improvements in budget assumptions and credibility, transparent revenue administration, digitalisation of government financial processes, and stronger treasury management. These reforms have been acknowledged by the IMF itself and other multilateral institutions, as well as international credit rating agencies, major media organisations and investors.

    Public debate is both welcome and essential in a democratic society. However, it should be based on facts and an accurate understanding of Nigeria’s constitutional and fiscal framework. Mischaracterising technical observations as evidence of unlawful expenditure neither advances informed public discourse nor strengthens democratic accountability.

    The Federal Government will continue to uphold the rule of law, maintain transparency in the management of public resources, and work with the National Assembly, oversight institutions, development partners and the Nigerian people to further strengthen fiscal governance in line with international best practices.

    𝘚𝘪𝘨𝘯𝘦𝘥:

    Taiwo Oyedele
    Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy
    Federal Republic of Nigeria

  • Budget of consolidation, renewed resilience, and shared prosperity,

    Budget of consolidation, renewed resilience, and shared prosperity,

    By President  Bola Tinubu

    I am here today to fulfil an essential constitutional obligation by presenting the 2026 Appropriation Bill to this esteemed Joint Session of the National Assembly for your consideration.

    This budget represents a defining moment in our national journey of reform and transformation. Over the last two and a half years, my government has methodically confronted long‑standing structural weaknesses, stabilised our economy, rebuilt confidence, and laid a durable foundation for the construction of a more resilient, inclusive, and dynamic Nigeria.

    Though necessary, the reforms have not been painless. Families and businesses have faced pressure; established systems have been disrupted; and budget execution has been tested. I acknowledge these difficulties plainly. Yet, I am here, today, to assure Nigerians that their sacrifices are not in vain. The path of reform is seldom smooth, but it is the surest route to lasting stability and shared prosperity.

    Today, I present a Budget that consolidates our gains, strengthens our resilience, and takes this country from out of the dark tunnel of hopelessness, from survival to growth.

    The 2026 Budget is themed: “Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity”. It reflects our determination to lock in macroeconomic stability, deepen competitiveness, and ensure that growth translates into decent jobs, rising incomes, and a better quality of life across for every Nigerian.

    Mr. Chairman, Leaders of the National Assembly, while the global outlook continues to improve, this Budget aims to further strengthen our Nigerian economy to benefit all our citizens.

    I am encouraged that our reform efforts are already yielding measurable results:

    • Our economy grew by 3.98 per cent in Q3 2025, up from 3.86 per cent in Q3 2024.

    • Inflation has moderated for eight consecutive months, with headline inflation declining to 14.45 per cent in November 2025, from 24.23 per cent in March 2025. With stabilising food and energy prices, tighter monetary conditions, and improving supply responses, we expect the deflationary trend to persist over the 2026 horizon, barring major supply shocks.

    • Oil production has improved, supported by enhanced security, technology deployment, and sector reforms.

    • Non‑oil revenues have expanded significantly through better tax administration.

    • Investor confidence is returning, reflected in capital inflows, renewed project financing, and stronger private‑sector participation.

    • Our external reserves rose to a 7‑year high of about US47 billion dollars as of last month, providing over 10 months of import cover and a more substantial buffer against shocks.

    These outcomes are not accidental or lucky. They are the consequence of our difficult policy choices. Our next objective is to deepen our gains in pursuit of enduring and inclusive prosperity.

    Mr. Chairman, Distinguished Members, our 2025 budget implementation faced the realities of transition and competing execution demands. As of Q3 2025, we recorded:

    • 18.6 trillion naira in revenue — representing 61% of our target; and

    • 24.66 trillion naira in expenditure — representing 60% of our target.

    Following the extension of the 2024 capital budget execution to December 2025, a total of 2.23 trillion naira was released for the implementation of 2024 capital projects as of June 2025.

    While fiscal challenges persisted, the government met its key obligations. However, only 3.10 trillion naira — about 17.7% of the 2025 capital budget — was released as of Q3, reflecting the emphasis on completing priority 2024 capital projects during the transition period.

    Let me be clear: 2026 will be a year of stronger discipline in budget execution. I have issued directives to the Honourable Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, the Honourable Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, the Accountant‑General of the Federation, and the Director‑General of the Budget Office of the Federation to ensure that the 2026 Budget is implemented strictly in line with the appropriated details and timelines.

    We expect improved revenue performance through the new National Tax Acts and the ongoing reforms in the oil and gas sector — reforms designed not merely to raise revenue, but to drive transparency, efficiency, fairness, and long‑term value in our fiscal architecture.

    I have also provided clear and direct guidance regarding Government‑Owned Enterprises. Heads of all agencies have been directed to meet their assigned revenue targets. To support this, we will deploy end‑to‑end digitisation of revenue mobilisation — standardised e‑collections, interoperable payment rails, automated reconciliation, data‑driven risk profiling, and real‑time performance dashboards — so leakages are sealed, compliance is verifiable, and remittances are prompt.

    These targets will form core components of performance evaluations and institutional scorecards. Nigeria can no longer afford leakages, inefficiencies, or underperformance in strategic agencies. Every institution must play its part.

    Mr Chairman and fellow Nigerians, the 2026 Budget is guided by four clear objectives:

    • Consolidate macroeconomic stability;

    • Improve the business and investment environment;

    • Promote job‑rich growth and reduce poverty; and

    • Strengthen human capital development while protecting the vulnerable.

    • In short: we will spend with purpose, manage debt with discipline, and pursue broad-based, sustainable growth.

    Distinguished Members, the 2026 Federal Budget is anchored on realism, prudence, and growth.

    • The key aggregates are as follows:

    • Expected total revenue is 34.33 trillion naira.

    • Projected total expenditure is 58.18 trillion naira, including 15.52 trillion naira for debt servicing.

    • Recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure is 15.25 trillion naira.

    • Capital expenditure will be 26.08 trillion.

    • The Budget deficit is expected to be 23.85 trillion naira, representing 4.28% of GDP.

    These numbers are not mere accounting lines. They are a statement of national priorities. We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.

    The 2026–2028 Medium‑Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper sets the parameters for this Budget. Our projections are based on:

    • a conservative crude oil benchmark of US64.85 dollars per barrel;

    • crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day; and

    • an average exchange rate of 1,400 naira to the US Dollar for the 2026 fiscal year.

    • We will continue to reduce waste, strengthen controls, and ensure that every naira borrowed or spent delivers measurable public value.

    Our allocations reflect the Renewed Hope Agenda and the practical needs of Nigerians. Key sectoral provisions include:

    • Defence and security: 5.41 trillion naira

    • Infrastructure: 3.56 trillion naira

    • Education: 3.52 trillion naira

    • Health: 2.48 trillion naira

    These priorities are interlinked. Without security, investment will not thrive. Without educated and healthy citizens, productivity will not rise. Without infrastructure, jobs and enterprises will not scale. This Budget is, therefore, designed to provide a single, coherent programme of national renewal.

    • National Security and Peacebuilding

    • National Security remains the foundation of development. The 2026 Budget strengthens support for:

    • modernisation of the Armed Forces;

    • intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations;

    • border security and technology‑enabled surveillance; and

    • community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.

    We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes — because security spending must deliver results. To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies and boosting the effectiveness of our fighting forces with cutting-edge equipment and other hardware.

    We will usher in a new era of criminal justice. We will show no mercy to those who commit or support acts of terrorism, banditry, kidnapping for ransom and other violent crimes.

    Our administration is resetting the national security architecture and establishing a new national counterterrorism doctrine — a holistic redesign anchored on unified command, intelligence gathering, community stability, and counter – insurgency. This new doctrine will fundamentally change how we confront terrorism and other violent crimes.

    Under this new architecture, any armed group or gun-wielding non-state actors operating outside state authority will be regarded as terrorists.

    Bandits, militias, armed gangs, armed robbers, violent cults, forest-based armed groups and foreign-linked mercenaries will all be targeted. We will go after all those who perpetrate violence for political or sectarian ends, along with those who finance and facilitate their evil schemes.

    Human Capital Development: Education and Health

    No nation can grow beyond the quality of its people. The 2026 Budget strengthens investments in education, skills, healthcare, and social protection.

    In education, we are expanding access to higher education through the Nigerian Education Loan Fund. Over seven hundred and eighty eight thousand students have been supported, in partnership with two hundred and twenty nine tertiary institutions nationwide.

    In healthcare, I am pleased to highlight that investment in healthcare is 6 per cent of the total budget size, net of liabilities.

    We also appreciate the support of international partners. Recent high‑level engagements with the Government of the United States have opened the door to over 500 million United States dollars for health interventions across Nigeria. We welcome this partnership and assure Nigerians that these resources will be deployed transparently and effectively.

    Infrastructure and Economic Productivity

    Across the nation, projects of all shapes and sizes are moving from vision to reality. These include transport and energy infrastructure, port modernisation, agricultural reforms, and strategic investments to unlock private capital.

    We will take decisive steps to strengthen agricultural markets. Food security shall remain a national priority. The 2026 Budget focuses on input financing and mechanisation; irrigation and climate‑resilient agriculture; storage and processing; and agro‑value chains.

    These measures will reduce post‑harvest losses, improve incomes for small holders, deepen agro‑industrialisation, and build a more resilient, diversified economy.

    In 2026, the Bank of Agriculture plans to plant confidence back into our soil; mechanising through seven regional hubs, protecting harvests with fair prices and substantial reserves, providing affordable finance to millions of small holders and growing export value. Under the plan, Nigerian farmers will cultivate one million hectares, create hundreds of thousands of jobs, and prove that prosperity can rise through better use of our God given land.

    Procurement

    Starting in November last year, the government has embarked upon a comprehensive framework of procurement reforms. These reforms have enhanced efficiency and generated significant cost savings for the government, resulting in resulting in reduced processing times for Government contracts and better enforcement procedures directed against erring contractors and government officials.

    Our Nigeria First Policy has been established to encourage self-sufficiency and sustainable growth within Nigeria by promoting domestic products and businesses. By mandating that all Ministries, Departments, and Agencies (MDAs) consider Nigerian-made goods and local companies as their primary option, the policy aims to support local industries, create job opportunities, and reduce dependency on imported items. This bold new approach is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Nigerian enterprises, foster innovation, and ultimately contribute to the country’s overall economic development.

    Distinguished Members and fellow Nigerians, the most significant budget is not the one we announce. It is the one we deliver.

    Therefore, 2026 will be guided by three practical commitments:

    • Better revenue mobilisation through efficiency, transparency, and compliance.

    • Better spending by prioritising projects that can be completed, measured, and felt by citizens.

    • Better accountability through strengthening of procurement discipline, monitoring, and reporting.

    • We will build trust by matching our words with results, and our allocations with outcomes.

    Distinguished Members of the National Assembly, fellow Nigerians, the 2026 Budget is not a budget of promises; it is a Budget of consolidation, renewed resilience and shared prosperity. It builds on the reforms of the past two and a half years, addresses emerging challenges, and sets a clear path towards a more secure, more competitive, more equitable, and more hopeful Nigeria.

    I commend the people of this country for their understanding and resilience. My administration remains committed to easing the burdens of the transition to a more stable and prosperous nation. We promise to make sure that the benefits of reform reach households and communities across the Federation.

    In united purpose between the Executive and the Legislature; and with the resilience of the Nigerian people, we will deliver the full promise of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

    It is, therefore, with great pleasure that I lay before this distinguished Joint Session of the National Assembly; the 2026 Appropriation Bill of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, titled: “Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity”. I seek your partnership in charting the nation’s fiscal course for the coming year.

    May God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

    Thank you.

    . 2026 Budget presentation speech to the Joint Session of the National Assembly by President Bola Tinubu on December 19, 2025.

     

  • President Tinubu Presents 2026 Budget with ₦58.47 Trillion Expenditure Plan

    President Tinubu Presents 2026 Budget with ₦58.47 Trillion Expenditure Plan

     

    President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has presented Nigeria’s 2026 budget, outlining a total expenditure of ₦58.47 trillion, with a focus on security, infrastructure, education, and health.

    The budget allocates ₦5.41 trillion to defence and security, underscoring the government’s commitment to maintaining national safety and tackling internal threats.

    Infrastructure development is set to receive ₦3.56 trillion, reflecting efforts to modernize roads, transport networks, and energy projects across the country.

    Education has been earmarked ₦3.52 trillion, while the health sector will receive ₦2.48 trillion, highlighting continued investment in human capital and public services.

    The expenditure is further broken down into capital and recurrent spending. Capital expenditure—funds earmarked for development projects—is projected at ₦26.08 trillion, while recurrent (non-debt) expenditure stands at ₦15.25 trillion.

    Economic assumptions underpinning the budget include a crude oil benchmark price of US$64.85 per barrel and a daily production target of 1.84 million barrels, indicating reliance on oil revenue for fiscal planning.

    The budget also assumes an exchange rate of ₦1,400 to the US Dollar, which will guide revenue projections and import-dependent expenditures.
    Analysts note that the budget reflects a balance between developmental priorities and maintaining fiscal discipline amid fluctuating global oil prices.

    The government’s allocation to security suggests that internal and border security will remain a top priority in 2026.

    Investment in infrastructure and education signals an ongoing focus on economic growth, job creation, and improving the standard of living for Nigerians.

    Health sector funding demonstrates continued efforts to strengthen healthcare delivery, expand access, and improve public health outcomes.
    Capital expenditure dominating the budget highlights the government’s intention to prioritize long-term development projects that stimulate economic activity.

    Recurrent spending aims to maintain essential government operations while controlling non-essential expenditure.

    Economic assumptions, particularly oil price and production targets, will be critical to the government’s ability to meet revenue expectations and fund planned initiatives.

    The 2026 budget sets a framework for Nigeria’s fiscal policy, combining social investment, economic growth measures, and security priorities to drive national development.